Gas prices in Toronto today and tomorrow
Regular gasoline averaged 176.7¢/L in Toronto at the October 19, 2026 survey; the estimate for October 27, 2026 is 173.4¢/L.
Regular gasoline in Toronto, survey of Monday, October 19, 2026
176.7¢/L
Estimate for tomorrow, Tuesday, October 27, 2026: 173.4¢/L (−3.3¢).
| 55 L at this price | $97.19 |
| The same fill-up tomorrow (estimate) | $95.37 |
| Fuel for 15,000 km a year | $2,263 |
| Taxes in one litre | 29.3¢/L (16.6%) |
| Past error of the estimate | ±2.4¢ on average over 140 weeks ("no change" guess: ±3.8¢) |
Source: Government of Ontario, survey of Monday, October 19, 2026.
Prepared by Radif Partners · Method · official sources read on October 26, 2026 · estimate for October 27, 2026, published method
Toronto's official pump price comes from the Government of Ontario, which surveys self-serve stations every Monday and publishes one average for Toronto West and one for Toronto East; this page uses the mean of the two. The latest survey, dated October 19, 2026, puts regular gasoline at 176.7¢/L and diesel at 261.5¢/L, taxes included. Between two Monday surveys the price moves with the wholesale market, so the page carries the figure forward with the daily survey of the Régie de l'énergie du Québec, which follows the same New York Harbor market and is published every morning. For October 27, 2026 that gives 173.4¢/L. Replayed over 140 past weeks, this method missed the next Monday survey by 2.4¢/L on average, against 3.8¢/L for simply repeating the last price. Taxes take 16.6% of a litre: Ontario's 9-cent gasoline tax and the 13% HST, the federal excise tax being suspended since April 20, 2026.
The official figures for Toronto
Every figure below is dated and comes from a public source. The Ontario survey is weekly, so on a Thursday the newest official number is already three days old; the estimate column is what the published method expects for October 27, 2026.
| Fuel | Latest official figure | Date and source | Estimate for October 27, 2026 | Past error of the method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular gasoline | 176.7¢/L | survey of Monday, October 19, 2026 · Government of Ontario | 173.4¢/L | ±2.4¢ on average over 140 weeks ("no change" guess: ±3.8¢) |
| Premium gasoline | 207.4¢/L | survey of Monday, October 19, 2026 · Government of Ontario | 204.1¢/L | ±2.5¢ on average over 140 weeks ("no change" guess: ±3.9¢) |
| Diesel | 261.5¢/L | survey of Monday, October 19, 2026 · Government of Ontario | 259.5¢/L | ±4.5¢ on average over 140 weeks ("no change" guess: ±4.5¢) |
Premium costs 30.7¢/L more than regular at the latest survey, a spread that comes from the refinery market for higher-octane blends rather than from taxes, which are the same per litre for both grades. Diesel is priced on its own market, and with no daily open signal for it the estimate only moves when the Ontario rack price is newer than the survey.
How the estimate for tomorrow is built
The method starts from the Monday average, then asks what the wholesale market has done since. Ontario publishes the Toronto rack price every business day, but with about a week of delay, so on most days it stops before the survey date and cannot add anything. The Régie de l'énergie du Québec publishes its Montréal survey every morning; once its sales taxes and fuel taxes are removed, what is left moves with the same refinery and import market that supplies the Greater Toronto Area. The change in that pre-tax number since Monday, multiplied by 1.13 for HST, is added to Toronto's Monday price.
It is a reasonable signal, not a forecast of what one station on Lake Shore Boulevard will post. Over the weeks replayed, its average miss was 37% smaller than that of the naive guess of "no change". The full rules, including how tax changes are dated, are on the method page.
Tomorrow in Toronto, by fuel
Estimate for tomorrow, Tuesday, October 27, 2026, Toronto
173.4¢/L
| Official starting point | 176.7¢/L (survey of Monday, October 19, 2026) |
| Wholesale price, up to October 21, 2026, with sales tax | −3.3¢ |
| Past error of the method | ±2.4¢ on average over 140 weeks ("no change" guess: ±3.8¢) |
Where a Toronto litre goes
At today's price the sales tax alone is 20.3¢/L. Ontario's gasoline tax has stayed at 9 cents since it was cut from 14.7 cents in July 2022, and the province made that rate permanent on July 1, 2025. The federal excise tax of 10 cents has been suspended since April 20, 2026; Finance Canada's draft legislation (proposed, not enacted) extends the suspension to January 31, 2027, then brings back half of it in February and March 2027 and all of it on April 1, 2027.
| Component | Per litre |
|---|---|
| Ontario gasoline tax | 9.00¢/L |
| Federal excise tax | 0.00¢/L |
| Sales tax (HST, 13%) | 20.33¢/L |
| Refined product, transport and margins | 147.37¢/L |
| Pump price | 176.7¢/L |
Whatever remains after taxes pays for the gasoline itself, the pipeline and truck to the station, the wholesaler and the retailer. That share is what changes from week to week; the taxes per litre do not.
The last weeks in Toronto
The Ontario series is published under the Open Government Licence, so its recent surveys can be shown in full. They give a sense of how far the price travels in a quarter.
| Survey | Regular | Diesel |
|---|---|---|
| October 19, 2026 | 176.7¢/L | 261.5¢/L |
| October 13, 2026 | 181.5¢/L | 256.2¢/L |
| October 5, 2026 | 186.9¢/L | 248.5¢/L |
| September 28, 2026 | 181.4¢/L | 248.4¢/L |
| September 21, 2026 | 182.4¢/L | 260.8¢/L |
| September 14, 2026 | 183.1¢/L | 254.5¢/L |
| September 8, 2026 | 185.6¢/L | 238.1¢/L |
| August 31, 2026 | 182.6¢/L | 226.7¢/L |
| August 24, 2026 | 176.6¢/L | 230.6¢/L |
| August 17, 2026 | 167.8¢/L | 222.8¢/L |
| August 10, 2026 | 162.3¢/L | 209.5¢/L |
| August 3, 2026 | 170.5¢/L | 218.2¢/L |
| July 27, 2026 | 179.6¢/L | 220.8¢/L |
What a fill-up costs
A compact car with a 45-litre tank costs $79.51 to fill at the last survey price, a small SUV with 60 litres $106.02. A one-cent move changes those fill-ups by 45 and 60 cents. If you are deciding between filling up today or tomorrow, the gap between the survey and the estimate on a 55-litre fill-up is $1.81.
Your fill-up at the Toronto price
Cost of the fill-up
$82.61
| 10 litres | $17.67 |
| If the price goes up 5¢ | $84.94 |
| If the price goes down 5¢ | $80.27 |
| Each cent per litre on this fill-up | $0.47 |
Commuters who drive from Durham Region or Peel into the city can compare the two regional averages with the city ranking.